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- ====================================================================
- Model: ARMA BIC: 3737.6668
- Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1854.4
- Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
- No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
- Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020
- Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020
- Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 76.706
- No. Iterations: 16.0000 HQIC: 3726.329
- AIC: 3718.7941
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- const 14.6465 5.6372 2.5982 0.0094 3.5978 25.6951
- ar.L1.Deaths 0.0682 0.0555 1.2305 0.2185 -0.0405 0.1769
- ar.L2.Deaths 0.0985 0.0553 1.7826 0.0747 -0.0098 0.2068
- ar.L3.Deaths 0.0765 0.0553 1.3830 0.1667 -0.0319 0.1849
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- AR.1 1.8922 -0.0000 1.8922 -0.0000
- AR.2 -1.5898 -2.0931 2.6284 -0.3534
- AR.3 -1.5898 2.0931 2.6284 0.3534
- ====================================================================
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