====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3737.6668
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1854.4
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           4                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       318                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 76.706
No. Iterations:     16.0000          HQIC:                3726.329
AIC:                3718.7941
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                   Coef.   Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const             14.6465    5.6372  2.5982  0.0094   3.5978  25.6951
ar.L1.Deaths       0.0682    0.0555  1.2305  0.2185  -0.0405   0.1769
ar.L2.Deaths       0.0985    0.0553  1.7826  0.0747  -0.0098   0.2068
ar.L3.Deaths       0.0765    0.0553  1.3830  0.1667  -0.0319   0.1849
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.8922            -0.0000           1.8922            -0.0000
AR.2           -1.5898            -2.0931           2.6284            -0.3534
AR.3           -1.5898             2.0931           2.6284             0.3534
====================================================================