The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 3737.6668
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1854.4
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 76.706
No. Iterations: 16.0000 HQIC: 3726.329
AIC: 3718.7941
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 14.6465 5.6372 2.5982 0.0094 3.5978 25.6951
ar.L1.Deaths 0.0682 0.0555 1.2305 0.2185 -0.0405 0.1769
ar.L2.Deaths 0.0985 0.0553 1.7826 0.0747 -0.0098 0.2068
ar.L3.Deaths 0.0765 0.0553 1.3830 0.1667 -0.0319 0.1849
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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AR.1 1.8922 -0.0000 1.8922 -0.0000
AR.2 -1.5898 -2.0931 2.6284 -0.3534
AR.3 -1.5898 2.0931 2.6284 0.3534
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