The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 3739.3143
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1855.2
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 76.905
No. Iterations: 7.0000 HQIC: 3727.976
AIC: 3720.4415
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 14.6642 5.1795 2.8312 0.0046 4.5125 24.8159
ma.L1.Deaths 0.0633 0.0559 1.1311 0.2580 -0.0464 0.1729
ma.L2.Deaths 0.0847 0.0523 1.6198 0.1053 -0.0178 0.1871
ma.L3.Deaths 0.0619 0.0528 1.1725 0.2410 -0.0416 0.1654
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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MA.1 0.7743 -2.2225 2.3535 -0.1966
MA.2 0.7743 2.2225 2.3535 0.1966
MA.3 -2.9168 -0.0000 2.9168 -0.5000
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