==================================================================== Model: ARMA BIC: 4684.5030 Dependent Variable: Recovered Log-Likelihood: -2327.8 Date: 2021-01-05 20:30 Scale: 1.0000 No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020 Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020 Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 332.718 No. Iterations: 29.0000 HQIC: 4673.165 AIC: 4665.6302 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975] -------------------------------------------------------------------- const 270.2229 47.6922 5.6660 0.0000 176.7479 363.6980 ma.L1.Recovered 0.4047 0.0475 8.5188 0.0000 0.3116 0.4978 ma.L2.Recovered 0.6032 0.0327 18.4688 0.0000 0.5392 0.6672 ma.L3.Recovered 0.5745 0.0408 14.0649 0.0000 0.4945 0.6546 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- MA.1 0.1843 -1.0923 1.1078 -0.2234 MA.2 0.1843 1.0923 1.1078 0.2234 MA.3 -1.4184 -0.0000 1.4184 -0.5000 ====================================================================