====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5294.8434
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2630.1
Date:               2021-01-05 19:12 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           5                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       317                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 852.192
No. Iterations:     25.0000          HQIC:                5281.238
AIC:                5272.1961
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Coef.   Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const           295.1671 262.6146   1.1240 0.2610 -219.5482 809.8823
ar.L1.Confirmed   0.9449   0.0247  38.1870 0.0000    0.8964   0.9934
ma.L1.Confirmed  -0.6086   0.0608 -10.0054 0.0000   -0.7278  -0.4894
ma.L2.Confirmed  -0.1580   0.0639  -2.4705 0.0135   -0.2833  -0.0326
ma.L3.Confirmed   0.0848   0.0556   1.5263 0.1269   -0.0241   0.1937
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0583             0.0000           1.0583             0.0000
MA.1           -2.6125             0.0000           2.6125             0.5000
MA.2            1.5356             0.0000           1.5356             0.0000
MA.3            2.9399             0.0000           2.9399             0.0000
====================================================================