====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5342.7083
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2656.9
Date:               2021-01-05 18:58 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           4                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       318                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 926.948
No. Iterations:     23.0000          HQIC:                5331.370
AIC:                5323.8356
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Coef.   Std.Err.   t    P>|t|   [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const              288.9815  95.8887 3.0137 0.0026 101.0431 476.9200
ma.L1.Confirmed      0.4423   0.0593 7.4637 0.0000   0.3262   0.5585
ma.L2.Confirmed      0.2255   0.0519 4.3482 0.0000   0.1238   0.3271
ma.L3.Confirmed      0.1930   0.0534 3.6151 0.0003   0.0884   0.2977
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
MA.1           -1.6632            -0.0000           1.6632            -0.5000
MA.2            0.2475            -1.7475           1.7649            -0.2276
MA.3            0.2475             1.7475           1.7649             0.2276
====================================================================