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- ====================================================================
- Model: ARMA BIC: 3735.4384
- Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1850.4
- Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
- No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
- Df Model: 5 Sample: 01-23-2020
- Df Residuals: 317 12-09-2020
- Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 75.740
- No. Iterations: 27.0000 HQIC: 3721.833
- AIC: 3712.7911
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- const 14.9355 9.6727 1.5441 0.1226 -4.0227 33.8937
- ar.L1.Deaths 0.9468 0.0481 19.6943 0.0000 0.8526 1.0410
- ma.L1.Deaths -0.9070 0.0734 -12.3518 0.0000 -1.0509 -0.7631
- ma.L2.Deaths 0.0306 0.0739 0.4139 0.6789 -0.1142 0.1754
- ma.L3.Deaths 0.0019 0.0598 0.0326 0.9740 -0.1152 0.1191
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- AR.1 1.0562 0.0000 1.0562 0.0000
- MA.1 1.1505 0.0000 1.1505 0.0000
- MA.2 14.3224 0.0000 14.3224 0.0000
- MA.3 -31.1883 0.0000 31.1883 0.5000
- ====================================================================
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