====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3735.4384
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1850.4
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           5                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       317                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 75.740
No. Iterations:     27.0000          HQIC:                3721.833
AIC:                3712.7911
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Coef.   Std.Err.     t      P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const           14.9355    9.6727    1.5441  0.1226  -4.0227  33.8937
ar.L1.Deaths     0.9468    0.0481   19.6943  0.0000   0.8526   1.0410
ma.L1.Deaths    -0.9070    0.0734  -12.3518  0.0000  -1.0509  -0.7631
ma.L2.Deaths     0.0306    0.0739    0.4139  0.6789  -0.1142   0.1754
ma.L3.Deaths     0.0019    0.0598    0.0326  0.9740  -0.1152   0.1191
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Real            Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0562             0.0000           1.0562             0.0000
MA.1            1.1505             0.0000           1.1505             0.0000
MA.2           14.3224             0.0000          14.3224             0.0000
MA.3          -31.1883             0.0000          31.1883             0.5000
====================================================================