The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 4453.3685
Dependent Variable: Recovered Log-Likelihood: -2212.2
Date: 2021-01-05 20:30 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 232.189
No. Iterations: 40.0000 HQIC: 4442.030
AIC: 4434.4957
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 210.8647 291.0982 0.7244 0.4688 -359.6772 781.4066
ar.L1.Recovered 0.5134 0.0616 8.3396 0.0000 0.3927 0.6340
ar.L2.Recovered 0.4618 0.0597 7.7345 0.0000 0.3448 0.5788
ma.L1.Recovered -0.3519 0.0543 -6.4745 0.0000 -0.4584 -0.2453
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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AR.1 1.0172 0.0000 1.0172 0.0000
AR.2 -2.1288 0.0000 2.1288 0.5000
MA.1 2.8421 0.0000 2.8421 0.0000
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