==================================================================== Model: ARMA BIC: 4453.3685 Dependent Variable: Recovered Log-Likelihood: -2212.2 Date: 2021-01-05 20:30 Scale: 1.0000 No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020 Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020 Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 232.189 No. Iterations: 40.0000 HQIC: 4442.030 AIC: 4434.4957 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975] -------------------------------------------------------------------- const 210.8647 291.0982 0.7244 0.4688 -359.6772 781.4066 ar.L1.Recovered 0.5134 0.0616 8.3396 0.0000 0.3927 0.6340 ar.L2.Recovered 0.4618 0.0597 7.7345 0.0000 0.3448 0.5788 ma.L1.Recovered -0.3519 0.0543 -6.4745 0.0000 -0.4584 -0.2453 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- AR.1 1.0172 0.0000 1.0172 0.0000 AR.2 -2.1288 0.0000 2.1288 0.5000 MA.1 2.8421 0.0000 2.8421 0.0000 ====================================================================