The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 3735.4081
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1850.4
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 5 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 317 12-09-2020
Converged: 0.0000 S.D. of innovations: 75.168
No. Iterations: 45.0000 HQIC: 3721.802
AIC: 3712.7608
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 13.9244 5.6290 2.4737 0.0134 2.8918 24.9571
ar.L1.Deaths 1.9780 0.0090 218.7390 0.0000 1.9603 1.9957
ar.L2.Deaths -0.9907 0.0084 -118.4326 0.0000 -1.0071 -0.9743
ma.L1.Deaths -1.9830 nan nan nan nan nan
ma.L2.Deaths 1.0000 nan nan nan nan nan
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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AR.1 0.9983 -0.1132 1.0047 -0.0180
AR.2 0.9983 0.1132 1.0047 0.0180
MA.1 0.9915 -0.1302 1.0000 -0.0208
MA.2 0.9915 0.1302 1.0000 0.0208
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