====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3735.4081
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1850.4
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           5                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       317                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          0.0000           S.D. of innovations: 75.168
No. Iterations:     45.0000          HQIC:                3721.802
AIC:                3712.7608
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                Coef.   Std.Err.      t      P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const          13.9244    5.6290     2.4737  0.0134   2.8918  24.9571
ar.L1.Deaths    1.9780    0.0090   218.7390  0.0000   1.9603   1.9957
ar.L2.Deaths   -0.9907    0.0084  -118.4326  0.0000  -1.0071  -0.9743
ma.L1.Deaths   -1.9830       nan        nan     nan      nan      nan
ma.L2.Deaths    1.0000       nan        nan     nan      nan      nan
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            0.9983            -0.1132           1.0047            -0.0180
AR.2            0.9983             0.1132           1.0047             0.0180
MA.1            0.9915            -0.1302           1.0000            -0.0208
MA.2            0.9915             0.1302           1.0000             0.0208
====================================================================