The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 3734.9149
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1855.9
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 3 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 319 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 77.071
No. Iterations: 11.0000 HQIC: 3725.844
AIC: 3719.8167
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 14.6748 4.9531 2.9628 0.0030 4.9669 24.3826
ma.L1.Deaths 0.0663 0.0559 1.1850 0.2360 -0.0434 0.1759
ma.L2.Deaths 0.0877 0.0520 1.6853 0.0919 -0.0143 0.1897
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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MA.1 -0.3779 -3.3558 3.3770 -0.2678
MA.2 -0.3779 3.3558 3.3770 0.2678
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