====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3734.9149
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1855.9
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           3                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       319                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 77.071
No. Iterations:     11.0000          HQIC:                3725.844
AIC:                3719.8167
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                   Coef.   Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const             14.6748    4.9531  2.9628  0.0030   4.9669  24.3826
ma.L1.Deaths       0.0663    0.0559  1.1850  0.2360  -0.0434   0.1759
ma.L2.Deaths       0.0877    0.0520  1.6853  0.0919  -0.0143   0.1897
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
MA.1           -0.3779            -3.3558           3.3770            -0.2678
MA.2           -0.3779             3.3558           3.3770             0.2678
====================================================================