The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 5289.0656
Dependent Variable: Confirmed Log-Likelihood: -2633.0
Date: 2021-01-05 19:10 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 3 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 319 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 859.915
No. Iterations: 28.0000 HQIC: 5279.995
AIC: 5273.9674
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 294.7647 257.2738 1.1457 0.2519 -209.4827 799.0121
ar.L1.Confirmed 0.9421 0.0249 37.8217 0.0000 0.8933 0.9909
ma.L1.Confirmed -0.6758 0.0571 -11.8346 0.0000 -0.7877 -0.5639
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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AR.1 1.0615 0.0000 1.0615 0.0000
MA.1 1.4797 0.0000 1.4797 0.0000
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