====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5289.0656
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2633.0
Date:               2021-01-05 19:10 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           3                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       319                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 859.915
No. Iterations:     28.0000          HQIC:                5279.995
AIC:                5273.9674
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Coef.   Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const           294.7647 257.2738   1.1457 0.2519 -209.4827 799.0121
ar.L1.Confirmed   0.9421   0.0249  37.8217 0.0000    0.8933   0.9909
ma.L1.Confirmed  -0.6758   0.0571 -11.8346 0.0000   -0.7877  -0.5639
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0615             0.0000           1.0615             0.0000
MA.1            1.4797             0.0000           1.4797             0.0000
====================================================================