The final project of DASE Introduction, the analysis of COVID-19
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Model: ARMA BIC: 3733.7991
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1855.4
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
Df Model: 3 Sample: 01-23-2020
Df Residuals: 319 12-09-2020
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 76.936
No. Iterations: 14.0000 HQIC: 3724.729
AIC: 3718.7009
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Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
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const 14.6659 5.2272 2.8057 0.0050 4.4207 24.9110
ar.L1.Deaths 0.0763 0.0553 1.3796 0.1677 -0.0321 0.1847
ar.L2.Deaths 0.1043 0.0553 1.8884 0.0590 -0.0040 0.2126
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Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
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AR.1 2.7516 0.0000 2.7516 0.0000
AR.2 -3.4830 0.0000 3.4830 0.5000
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