|
====================================================================
|
|
Model: ARMA BIC: 3724.1844
|
|
Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1850.5
|
|
Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
|
|
No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
|
|
Df Model: 3 Sample: 01-23-2020
|
|
Df Residuals: 319 12-09-2020
|
|
Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 75.775
|
|
No. Iterations: 21.0000 HQIC: 3715.114
|
|
AIC: 3709.0862
|
|
---------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
|
|
---------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
const 15.1675 10.0524 1.5088 0.1313 -4.5349 34.8698
|
|
ar.L1.Deaths 0.9556 0.0407 23.4832 0.0000 0.8758 1.0353
|
|
ma.L1.Deaths -0.8906 0.0629 -14.1484 0.0000 -1.0139 -0.7672
|
|
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
|
|
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
AR.1 1.0465 0.0000 1.0465 0.0000
|
|
MA.1 1.1229 0.0000 1.1229 0.0000
|
|
====================================================================
|