====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 4442.5882
Dependent Variable: Recovered        Log-Likelihood:      -2204.0
Date:               2021-01-05 20:30 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           5                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       317                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 226.231
No. Iterations:     34.0000          HQIC:                4428.982
AIC:                4419.9409
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                   Coef.   Std.Err.   t    P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const             211.7695 292.1043 0.7250 0.4685 -360.7445 784.2834
ar.L1.Recovered     0.0713   0.1063 0.6710 0.5022   -0.1371   0.2797
ar.L2.Recovered     0.5024   0.0533 9.4201 0.0000    0.3979   0.6069
ar.L3.Recovered     0.3876   0.0760 5.1012 0.0000    0.2387   0.5366
ma.L1.Recovered     0.0396   0.1090 0.3629 0.7167   -0.1740   0.2532
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Real            Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0170            -0.0000           1.0170            -0.0000
AR.2           -1.1566            -1.0949           1.5926            -0.3794
AR.3           -1.1566             1.0949           1.5926             0.3794
MA.1          -25.2824             0.0000          25.2824             0.5000
====================================================================