==================================================================== Model: ARMA BIC: 4895.0924 Dependent Variable: Recovered Log-Likelihood: -2438.9 Date: 2021-01-05 20:30 Scale: 1.0000 No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle Df Model: 2 Sample: 01-23-2020 Df Residuals: 320 12-09-2020 Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 470.884 No. Iterations: 13.0000 HQIC: 4888.290 AIC: 4883.7687 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975] -------------------------------------------------------------------- const 271.3909 41.2916 6.5726 0.0000 190.4610 352.3209 ma.L1.Recovered 0.5753 0.0337 17.0901 0.0000 0.5093 0.6413 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- MA.1 -1.7382 0.0000 1.7382 0.5000 ====================================================================