====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3741.2026
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1850.4
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           6                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       316                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 75.739
No. Iterations:     42.0000          HQIC:                3725.329
AIC:                3714.7807
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Coef.   Std.Err.     t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const            14.9677    9.7244   1.5392  0.1238  -4.0917  34.0272
ar.L1.Deaths      0.3708    2.1180   0.1750  0.8610  -3.7805   4.5220
ar.L2.Deaths      0.5476    2.0038   0.2733  0.7846  -3.3798   4.4751
ma.L1.Deaths     -0.3309    2.1184  -0.1562  0.8759  -4.4828   3.8210
ma.L2.Deaths     -0.4885    1.9266  -0.2535  0.7999  -4.2646   3.2876
ma.L3.Deaths      0.0132    0.0973   0.1358  0.8920  -0.1775   0.2040
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0546             0.0000           1.0546             0.0000
AR.2           -1.7316             0.0000           1.7316             0.5000
MA.1            1.1454             0.0000           1.1454             0.0000
MA.2           -1.7582             0.0000           1.7582             0.5000
MA.3           37.5690             0.0000          37.5690             0.0000
====================================================================