==================================================================== Model: ARMA BIC: 4425.8495 Dependent Variable: Recovered Log-Likelihood: -2198.5 Date: 2021-01-05 20:30 Scale: 1.0000 No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle Df Model: 4 Sample: 01-23-2020 Df Residuals: 318 12-09-2020 Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 222.334 No. Iterations: 37.0000 HQIC: 4414.511 AIC: 4406.9768 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975] -------------------------------------------------------------------- const 225.9018 259.6955 0.8699 0.3844 -283.0921 734.8957 ar.L1.Recovered 0.9754 0.0116 84.3815 0.0000 0.9527 0.9981 ma.L1.Recovered -0.9000 0.0532 -16.9232 0.0000 -1.0042 -0.7957 ma.L2.Recovered 0.4743 0.0450 10.5469 0.0000 0.3862 0.5624 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- AR.1 1.0252 0.0000 1.0252 0.0000 MA.1 0.9487 -1.0992 1.4520 -0.1367 MA.2 0.9487 1.0992 1.4520 0.1367 ====================================================================