====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 4625.3036
Dependent Variable: Recovered        Log-Likelihood:      -2304.0
Date:               2021-01-05 20:30 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           2                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       320                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 309.252
No. Iterations:     22.0000          HQIC:                4618.501
AIC:                4613.9799
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Coef.   Std.Err.    t    P>|t|   [0.025  0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const              263.5869 126.3315  2.0865 0.0369 15.9816 511.1921
ar.L1.Recovered      0.8662   0.0273 31.6822 0.0000  0.8126   0.9198
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.1544             0.0000           1.1544             0.0000
====================================================================