====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5302.7321
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2631.2
Date:               2021-01-05 19:18 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           6                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       316                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          0.0000           S.D. of innovations: 850.329
No. Iterations:     54.0000          HQIC:                5286.859
AIC:                5276.3102
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Coef.  Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const            75.1953 177.6969   0.4232 0.6722 -273.0841 423.4748
ar.L1.Confirmed   2.1013   0.0716  29.3548 0.0000    1.9610   2.2416
ar.L2.Confirmed  -1.2241   0.1332  -9.1892 0.0000   -1.4852  -0.9630
ar.L3.Confirmed   0.1209   0.0636   1.9013 0.0573   -0.0037   0.2455
ma.L1.Confirmed  -1.7851   0.0801 -22.2804 0.0000   -1.9422  -1.6281
ma.L2.Confirmed   0.7851   0.0803   9.7739 0.0000    0.6277   0.9426
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0090            -0.0469           1.0100            -0.0074
AR.2            1.0090             0.0469           1.0100             0.0074
AR.3            8.1098            -0.0000           8.1098            -0.0000
MA.1            1.0000             0.0000           1.0000             0.0000
MA.2            1.2737             0.0000           1.2737             0.0000
====================================================================