====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5294.6445
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2630.0
Date:               2021-01-05 19:17 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           5                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       317                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 851.927
No. Iterations:     31.0000          HQIC:                5281.039
AIC:                5271.9971
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Coef.   Std.Err.    t    P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const            295.2501 262.3417  1.1254 0.2604 -218.9302 809.4303
ar.L1.Confirmed    0.9951   0.1055  9.4310 0.0000    0.7883   1.2020
ar.L2.Confirmed   -0.1796   0.0828 -2.1696 0.0300   -0.3419  -0.0174
ar.L3.Confirmed    0.1247   0.0672  1.8571 0.0633   -0.0069   0.2564
ma.L1.Confirmed   -0.6550   0.0950 -6.8986 0.0000   -0.8411  -0.4689
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0585            -0.0000           1.0585            -0.0000
AR.2            0.1908            -2.7454           2.7520            -0.2390
AR.3            0.1908             2.7454           2.7520             0.2390
MA.1            1.5266             0.0000           1.5266             0.0000
====================================================================