====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5302.6036
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2636.9
Date:               2021-01-05 19:17 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           4                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       318                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 870.535
No. Iterations:     31.0000          HQIC:                5291.265
AIC:                5283.7308
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Coef.   Std.Err.   t    P>|t|   [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const              286.6449 177.5115 1.6148 0.1064 -61.2712 634.5610
ar.L1.Confirmed      0.4047   0.0540 7.4927 0.0000   0.2988   0.5105
ar.L2.Confirmed      0.0902   0.0583 1.5472 0.1218  -0.0241   0.2044
ar.L3.Confirmed      0.2359   0.0539 4.3790 0.0000   0.1303   0.3414
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.1859            -0.0000           1.1859            -0.0000
AR.2           -0.7841            -1.7206           1.8908            -0.3181
AR.3           -0.7841             1.7206           1.8908             0.3181
====================================================================