==================================================================== Model: ARMA BIC: 5322.5254 Dependent Variable: Confirmed Log-Likelihood: -2652.6 Date: 2021-01-05 18:59 Scale: 1.0000 No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle Df Model: 2 Sample: 01-23-2020 Df Residuals: 320 12-09-2020 Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 914.483 No. Iterations: 18.0000 HQIC: 5315.723 AIC: 5311.2017 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975] -------------------------------------------------------------------- const 288.8421 116.3359 2.4828 0.0130 60.8280 516.8562 ar.L1.Confirmed 0.5637 0.0458 12.2985 0.0000 0.4739 0.6535 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- AR.1 1.7740 0.0000 1.7740 0.0000 ====================================================================