====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 3724.1844
Dependent Variable: Deaths           Log-Likelihood:      -1850.5
Date:               2021-01-05 20:57 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           3                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       319                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 75.775
No. Iterations:     21.0000          HQIC:                3715.114
AIC:                3709.0862
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Coef.   Std.Err.     t      P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
---------------------------------------------------------------------
const           15.1675   10.0524    1.5088  0.1313  -4.5349  34.8698
ar.L1.Deaths     0.9556    0.0407   23.4832  0.0000   0.8758   1.0353
ma.L1.Deaths    -0.8906    0.0629  -14.1484  0.0000  -1.0139  -0.7672
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0465             0.0000           1.0465             0.0000
MA.1            1.1229             0.0000           1.1229             0.0000
====================================================================