====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 5292.1965
Dependent Variable: Confirmed        Log-Likelihood:      -2631.7
Date:               2021-01-05 19:14 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           4                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       318                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 856.400
No. Iterations:     34.0000          HQIC:                5280.858
AIC:                5273.3238
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Coef.   Std.Err.    t     P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const           301.4637 270.3988   1.1149 0.2649 -228.5082 831.4356
ar.L1.Confirmed   1.0758   0.0837  12.8548 0.0000    0.9118   1.2398
ar.L2.Confirmed  -0.1185   0.0732  -1.6203 0.1052   -0.2619   0.0248
ma.L1.Confirmed  -0.7459   0.0600 -12.4284 0.0000   -0.8635  -0.6282
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0514             0.0000           1.0514             0.0000
AR.2            8.0235             0.0000           8.0235             0.0000
MA.1            1.3407             0.0000           1.3407             0.0000
====================================================================