====================================================================
Model:              ARMA             BIC:                 4436.9461
Dependent Variable: Recovered        Log-Likelihood:      -2204.0
Date:               2021-01-05 20:30 Scale:               1.0000
No. Observations:   322              Method:              css-mle
Df Model:           4                Sample:              01-23-2020
Df Residuals:       318                                   12-09-2020
Converged:          1.0000           S.D. of innovations: 226.280
No. Iterations:     20.0000          HQIC:                4425.608
AIC:                4418.0734
--------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Coef.   Std.Err.    t    P>|t|    [0.025   0.975]
--------------------------------------------------------------------
const            210.9431 294.1785  0.7171 0.4733 -365.6361 787.5223
ar.L1.Recovered    0.1056   0.0516  2.0466 0.0407    0.0045   0.2068
ar.L2.Recovered    0.4911   0.0441 11.1458 0.0000    0.4048   0.5775
ar.L3.Recovered    0.3665   0.0515  7.1123 0.0000    0.2655   0.4675
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Real           Imaginary          Modulus          Frequency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR.1            1.0166            -0.0000           1.0166            -0.0000
AR.2           -1.1784            -1.1382           1.6383            -0.3778
AR.3           -1.1784             1.1382           1.6383             0.3778
====================================================================