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- ====================================================================
- Model: ARMA BIC: 3724.1844
- Dependent Variable: Deaths Log-Likelihood: -1850.5
- Date: 2021-01-05 20:57 Scale: 1.0000
- No. Observations: 322 Method: css-mle
- Df Model: 3 Sample: 01-23-2020
- Df Residuals: 319 12-09-2020
- Converged: 1.0000 S.D. of innovations: 75.775
- No. Iterations: 21.0000 HQIC: 3715.114
- AIC: 3709.0862
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------
- const 15.1675 10.0524 1.5088 0.1313 -4.5349 34.8698
- ar.L1.Deaths 0.9556 0.0407 23.4832 0.0000 0.8758 1.0353
- ma.L1.Deaths -0.8906 0.0629 -14.1484 0.0000 -1.0139 -0.7672
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Real Imaginary Modulus Frequency
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- AR.1 1.0465 0.0000 1.0465 0.0000
- MA.1 1.1229 0.0000 1.1229 0.0000
- ====================================================================
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